{"id":774,"date":"2023-05-24T16:06:08","date_gmt":"2023-05-24T14:06:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/arpasaulespieredzi.lv\/?post_type=news&#038;p=774"},"modified":"2023-05-25T11:37:47","modified_gmt":"2023-05-25T09:37:47","slug":"p-miklasevics-saules-speks-un-geopolitiskais-perkons","status":"publish","type":"news","link":"https:\/\/arpasaulespieredzi.lv\/lv\/news\/p-miklasevics-saules-speks-un-geopolitiskais-perkons\/","title":{"rendered":"Pauls Mikla\u0161evi\u010ds: Saules sp\u0113ks un \u0123eopolitiskais p\u0113rkons"},"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"template":"","news_category":[16],"class_list":["post-774","news","type-news","status-publish","hentry","news_category-viedoklis"],"acf":{"content":"<p>\u010cetri triljoni eiro.<\/p>\n<p>Tie\u0161i tik liels kapit\u0101ls b\u016bs nepiecie\u0161ams, lai sasniegtu Eiropas atjaunojam\u0101s ener\u0123ijas m\u0113r\u0137us n\u0101kamajos 10 gados saska\u0146\u0101 ar Goldman Sachs datiem. Tiek prognoz\u0113ts, ka taj\u0101 pa\u0161\u0101 laika posm\u0101 ASV Infl\u0101cijas samazin\u0101\u0161anas likums (Inflation Reduction Act (IRA)) mobiliz\u0113s invest\u012bcijas atjaunojam\u0101s ener\u0123ijas jom\u0101 2 triljonu eiro v\u0113rt\u012bb\u0101. N\u0101kamajos 10 gados ASV saules ener\u0123ijas ra\u017eo\u0161ana veidos 55 % no jaun\u0101s atjaunojam\u0101s ener\u0123ijas jaudas jeb aptuveni 400 gigavatu jaunu iek\u0101rtu.<\/p>\n<p>Paredzams, ka Eirop\u0101 saules ener\u0123ijas ra\u017eo\u0161anai b\u016bs v\u0113l liel\u0101ka noz\u012bme.<\/p>\n<p>No 2019. l\u012bdz 2021. gadam Eirop\u0101 vid\u0113ji gad\u0101 tika uzst\u0101d\u012bti 15 gigavati jaunu saules ener\u0123ijas iek\u0101rtu. Turpm\u0101k, lai sasniegtu m\u016bsu v\u0113rien\u012bgos atjaunojam\u0101s elektroener\u0123ijas m\u0113r\u0137us, no 2028. l\u012bdz 2030. gadam saules ener\u0123ijas instal\u0101ciju jauda Eirop\u0101 b\u016bs j\u0101palielina l\u012bdz vair\u0101k nek\u0101 70 gigavatiem jaunu instal\u0101ciju gad\u0101 &#8211; kop\u0101 aptuveni 600 gigavatiem no \u0161\u012b br\u012b\u017ea l\u012bdz 2030. gadam (2\/3 no jauniem atjaunojam\u0101s ener\u0123ijas avotiem).<\/p>\n<p>Izklaus\u0101s lieliski. Ko m\u0113s gaid\u0101m? B\u016bv\u0113sim saules ener\u0123ijas parkus! Es ar prieku zi\u0146oju, ka beidzot, \u0161\u0137iet, ka Eiropas Komisija ir gatava r\u012bkoties.<\/p>\n<p>P\u0113c tam, kad pag\u0101ju\u0161\u0101 gada august\u0101 amerik\u0101\u0146u &#8220;Infl\u0101cijas samazin\u0101\u0161anas akts&#8221; iev\u0113rojami p\u0101rsp\u0113ja Eiropas pl\u0101nus, \u0161\u012b gada 16. mart\u0101 Eiropas Komisija iesniedza s\u012bki izstr\u0101d\u0101tus ties\u012bbu aktus, lai atbalst\u012btu savu Za\u013c\u0101 dar\u012bjuma neto nulles nozares aktu.<\/p>\n<p>\u0160is ties\u012bbu akts veicin\u0101s \u0101tr\u0101ku atjaunojamo energoresursu att\u012bst\u012bbu, pateicoties maz\u0101k apgr\u016btino\u0161iem at\u013cauju izsnieg\u0161anas noteikumiem, k\u0101 ar\u012b uzsvaram uz &#8220;Ra\u017eots Eirop\u0101&#8221;. Faktiski Eiropas Komisija ir gatava ierosin\u0101t, ka vismaz 40 % atjaunojam\u0101s ener\u0123ijas iek\u0101rtu b\u016btu j\u0101ra\u017eo Eirop\u0101.<\/p>\n<p>\u0145emot v\u0113r\u0101 to, ka Eirop\u0101 sara\u017eo tikai 2% no pasaules saules ener\u0123ijas komponentu, EK \u201cRa\u017eots Eirop\u0101\u201d mand\u0101ts saules ener\u0123ijas iek\u0101rtu kontekst\u0101 ir vai nu bezgala nere\u0101ls, vai ar\u012b iespaid\u012bga iesp\u0113ja iedvesmotiem Eiropas ra\u017eot\u0101jiem.<\/p>\n<p>Tom\u0113r skaidrs ir tas, ka \u012bstermi\u0146\u0101 m\u0113s b\u016bsim \u013coti atkar\u012bgi no komponentiem no \u0136\u012bnas.<\/p>\n<p>Pa\u0161laik \u0136\u012bnas da\u013ca saules ener\u0123ijas pieg\u0101des \u0137\u0113d\u0113 ir vair\u0101k nek\u0101 90 % no pasaules tirgus. Tas attiecas uz materi\u0101liem, kas vajadz\u012bgi, lai saules ener\u0123iju p\u0101rv\u0113rstu elektroener\u0123ij\u0101, piem\u0113ram, polisilikonu, pl\u0101ksn\u0113m, fotoelekstrisko \u0161\u016bnu, modu\u013ciem un saules stiklu.<\/p>\n<p>Saska\u0146\u0101 ar \u0136\u012bnas Fotogalvanisk\u0101s r\u016bpniec\u012bbas asoci\u0101cijas (China Photovoltaic Industry Association &#8211; CPIA) datiem \u0136\u012bnas milz\u012bgie ieguld\u012bjumi saules ener\u0123ijas pieg\u0101des \u0137\u0113d\u0113 var\u0113tu \u013caut tai \u0161ogad palielin\u0101t saules ener\u0123ijas ra\u017eo\u0161anas jaudu par 95-120 gigavatiem (Eiropas m\u0113r\u0137is \u0161ogad ir 23 gigavati saules ener\u0123ijas ra\u017eo\u0161anas jaudas). Tom\u0113r \u0123eopolitisk\u0101s nesaska\u0146as ir apgr\u016btin\u0101ju\u0161as \u0136\u012bnas saules ener\u0123ijas nozares dz\u012bvi.\u00a0 Nesen notiku\u0161aj\u0101 nozares konferenc\u0113 CPIA goda priek\u0161s\u0113d\u0113t\u0101js Wang Bohua pazi\u0146oja: &#8220;Tirdzniec\u012bbas \u0161\u0137\u0113r\u0161\u013ci rada arvien liel\u0101kas gr\u016bt\u012bbas \u0136\u012bnas saules ener\u0123ijas ra\u017eo\u0161anas uz\u0146\u0113mumiem, kuri cen\u0161as papla\u0161in\u0101t savu darb\u012bbu \u0101rvalstu tirgos, un viet\u0113jo ra\u017eot\u0101ju strauj\u0101 att\u012bst\u012bba \u0161aj\u0101s valst\u012bs skars \u0136\u012bnas saules ener\u0123ijas ra\u017eo\u0161anas nozari&#8221;.<\/p>\n<p>ASV un Eiropa dod priek\u0161roku savas n\u0101kotnes saules ener\u0123ijas pieg\u0101des \u0137\u0113des jaudas izaugsmei, nevis l\u0113t\u0101k\u0101m \u0136\u012bnas sast\u0101vda\u013c\u0101m, kuras pa\u0161laik g\u016bst labumu no gadiem ilgiem ieguld\u012bjumiem un apjomrad\u012btiem ietaup\u012bjumiem. Liela da\u013ca \u0161\u012bs ra\u017eo\u0161anas jaudas tika uzb\u016bv\u0113ta, izmantojot l\u0113tas ogles, un pasaules ener\u0123ijas tirgus dinamika p\u0113d\u0113j\u0101 gada laik\u0101 ir iev\u0113rojami main\u012bjusies.<\/p>\n<p>Pa\u0161reiz\u0113j\u0101 ener\u0123ijas cenu vid\u0113 Eiropai b\u016bs gr\u016bti att\u012bst\u012bt energoietilp\u012bgu ra\u017eo\u0161anas jaudu. No otras puses, ASV ir iev\u0113rojamas priek\u0161roc\u012bbas, jo t\u0101m ir piek\u013cuve bag\u0101t\u012bgai dabasg\u0101zei.<\/p>\n<p>Vai ir lietder\u012bgi sa\u0161\u0137idrin\u0101t ASV dabasg\u0101zi, p\u0101rvest to p\u0101ri Atlantijas oke\u0101nam, p\u0101rv\u0113rst to atpaka\u013c dabasg\u0101z\u0113, izmantot to turb\u012bn\u0101s, lai ra\u017eotu elektroener\u0123iju, un p\u0113c tam Eirop\u0101 b\u016bv\u0113t un darbin\u0101t r\u016bpn\u012bcas saules ener\u0123ijas komponentu ra\u017eo\u0161anai? To m\u0113s redz\u0113sim. \u0160\u012b vien\u0101dojuma ener\u0123\u0113tisk\u0101 ekonomika noz\u012bm\u0113 iev\u0113rojamas subs\u012bdijas. Tas pats par sevi nav nekas slikts. V\u0113sture ir pier\u0101d\u012bjusi, ka jaun\u0101s r\u016bpniec\u012bbas nozares g\u016bst labumu no subs\u012bdij\u0101m, pirms sasniedz apjomrad\u012btus ietaup\u012bjumus, bet Eiropai b\u016bs j\u0101b\u016bt modrai, lai nodro\u0161in\u0101tu, ka subs\u012bdijas netiek iz\u0161\u0137\u0113rd\u0113tas un ka \u0161\u012bs politikas alternat\u012bv\u0101s izmaksas ir piln\u012bb\u0101 \u0146emtas v\u0113r\u0101.<\/p>\n<p>Eiropai neizdev\u0101s izveidot energoietilp\u012bgu saules ener\u0123ijas pieg\u0101des \u0137\u0113des jaudu, kad tai bija pieejama l\u0113ta Krievijas g\u0101ze un bezmaksas nauda (Eiropas Centr\u0101l\u0101 banka, \u012bstenojot negat\u012bvu procentu likmju politiku, burtiski maks\u0101ja cilv\u0113kiem, lai tie aiz\u0146emtos naudu). Tagad ener\u0123ija ir d\u0101rga, un d\u0101rgs ir ar\u012b kapit\u0101ls. Ja toreiz nebija ekonomiska pamatojuma, lai att\u012bst\u012btu m\u016bsu saules ener\u0123ijas r\u016bpniec\u012bbu, tad, protams, tagad \u0161\u012b pati ekonomisk\u0101 situ\u0101cija ir v\u0113l sare\u017e\u0123\u012bt\u0101ka. Ta\u010du ne viss ir saist\u012bts ar naudu. Tas ir skaidrs.<\/p>\n<p>Pag\u0101ju\u0161aj\u0101 gad\u0101 Amerikas Tirdzniec\u012bbas kameras pusdien\u0101s Sadales t\u012bkla izpilddirektors Sandis Jansons sniedza \u013coti interesantu prezent\u0101ciju par pl\u0101noto saules ener\u0123ijas ra\u017eo\u0161anas jaudu Latvij\u0101.<\/p>\n<p>Biju p\u0101rsteigts, uzzinot, ka <strong>Latvijas pl\u0101noto saules ener\u0123ijas ra\u017eo\u0161anas jaudu summa ir l\u012bdzv\u0113rt\u012bga vair\u0101k nek\u0101 piecas reizes liel\u0101kam m\u016bsu vid\u0113jam elektroener\u0123ijas pat\u0113ri\u0146am<\/strong><strong>.<\/strong> Protams, ne visas \u0161\u012bs jaudas tiks uzb\u016bv\u0113tas, ta\u010du patur\u0113sim pr\u0101t\u0101 saules ener\u0123ijas ekonomiku: jo liel\u0101kas jaudas, jo vair\u0101k elektr\u012bbas sara\u017eosiet, kad sp\u012bd\u0113s saule, un jo l\u0113t\u0101ka t\u0101 b\u016bs.<\/p>\n<p>Tas rada b\u016btisku izaicin\u0101jumu projektu ekonomikas prognoz\u0113\u0161anai. Noteikt\u0101 br\u012bd\u012b jo vair\u0101k saules jaudas tiks uzb\u016bv\u0113ts, jo maz\u0101ki b\u016bs ien\u0101kumi no saules ener\u0123ijas ra\u017eo\u0161anas, r\u0113\u0137inot uz vien\u012bbu. Elektroener\u0123ija ir l\u012bdz\u012bga cit\u0101m prec\u0113m, jo t\u0101s cena ir atkar\u012bga no cenu starp\u012bbas: pieg\u0101d\u0101jiet par vienu vien\u012bbu maz\u0101k, nek\u0101 tirgus pieprasa, un cenas eksponenci\u0101li pieaug, pieg\u0101d\u0101jiet par vienu vien\u012bbu vair\u0101k, nek\u0101 tirgus pieprasa, un cena strauji kr\u012btas.<\/p>\n<p>J\u0101, m\u0113s, protams, teor\u0113tiski var\u0113sim eksport\u0113t lieko elektroener\u0123iju uz kaimi\u0146valst\u012bm, bet nav \u0161aubu, ka ar\u012b t\u0101m ir l\u012bdz\u012bgi pl\u0101ni, kas var\u0113tu rad\u012bt v\u0113l liel\u0101ku jaudas p\u0101rpalikumu un faktiski pasliktin\u0101t slikto situ\u0101ciju saules ener\u0123ijas investoriem. Zem\u0101s viet\u0113j\u0101s ener\u0123ijas cenas saulain\u0101s dien\u0101s var\u0113tu k\u013c\u016bt v\u0113l zem\u0101kas, ja m\u016bsu kaimi\u0146i izmantotu lieko jaudu. Teor\u0113tiski m\u0113s varam non\u0101kt situ\u0101cij\u0101, kad p\u0101rmaks\u0101sim par liel\u0101ku saules ener\u0123ijas jaudu, nek\u0101 mums ir nepiecie\u0161ams, vienlaikus nesp\u0113jot mazin\u0101t milz\u012bg\u0101s cenu sv\u0101rst\u012bbas, kas apdraud m\u016bsu energoapg\u0101des dro\u0161\u012bbu. M\u0113s nevaram at\u013cauties, ka \u0161\u0101ds scen\u0101rijs (atkal) atk\u0101rtojas.<\/p>\n<p>Protams, vislab\u0101kais l\u012bdzeklis pret t\u0101du nepast\u0101v\u012bgu atjaunojamo energoresursu k\u0101 saules ener\u0123ija jaudas p\u0101rpalikumu ir sp\u0113ja to uzglab\u0101t. Tas ir galvenais sp\u0113les main\u012bt\u0101js, jo \u013cauj uzglab\u0101t ener\u0123iju, kad t\u0101 ir l\u0113ta, un p\u0101rdot to, kad t\u0101 ir d\u0101rga. Tas b\u016btu izdev\u012bgi ra\u017eot\u0101jiem, pat\u0113r\u0113t\u0101jiem un regulatoriem, jo mazin\u0101tu cenu sv\u0101rst\u012bbas. Tas ir ar\u012b iemesls, k\u0101p\u0113c daudzos jaunos saules ener\u0123ijas projektos \u0136\u012bn\u0101 ir j\u0101iek\u013cauj ener\u0123ijas uzglab\u0101\u0161anas komponents, lai viet\u0113j\u0101s pa\u0161vald\u012bbas sa\u0146emtu at\u013cauju.<\/p>\n<p>Protams, daudzi saules ener\u0123ijas projekti var\u0113tu b\u016bt \u013coti lietder\u012bgi, \u0146emot v\u0113r\u0101 pa\u0161reiz\u0113jos paaugstin\u0101tos elektroener\u0123ijas tarifus, ta\u010du tirgus dinamika past\u0101v\u012bgi main\u0101s. Neskaidr\u012bbu par saules ener\u0123ijas ra\u017eot\u0101ju naudas pl\u016bsmu n\u0101kotn\u0113 pastiprina iesp\u0113jam\u0101s gr\u016bt\u012bbas sag\u0101d\u0101t komponentus no \u0136\u012bnas vai, iesp\u0113jams, d\u0101rgi j\u0101maks\u0101 par tiem, kas ra\u017eoti Eirop\u0101. \u0145emot v\u0113r\u0101 iepriek\u0161 teikto, \u0136\u012bnas komponenti var\u0113tu vairs neb\u016bt tik l\u0113ti &#8211; ar\u012b tiem ir augst\u0101kas ener\u0123ijas izmaksas, un \u0136\u012bnas ekonomika p\u0113c 3 gadus ilgas nulles Covid politikas beidzot ats\u0101k darb\u012bbu. Tas noz\u012bm\u0113, ka palielin\u0101sies piepras\u012bjums p\u0113c visiem ra\u017eo\u0161anas faktoriem, jo \u012bpa\u0161i p\u0113c vara, kas ir galvenais elektrovad\u012btsp\u0113jas materi\u0101ls. Diem\u017e\u0113l no Eiropas Komisijas neesmu dzird\u0113jis nek\u0101dus pl\u0101nus par vara pieg\u0101\u017eu iepirk\u0161anu. Tas ir satrauco\u0161i, jo pa\u0161reiz\u0113jais piepras\u012bjuma temps var\u0113tu pat\u0113r\u0113t redzamos vara kr\u0101jumus l\u012bdz \u0161\u012bs vasaras beig\u0101m.<\/p>\n<p>T\u012bkla m\u0113roga baterijas un za\u013cais \u016bde\u0146radis, kas \u013cauj mums uzglab\u0101t elektroener\u0123iju, p\u0101rv\u0113r\u0161ot to molekul\u0101s, pa\u0161laik ir d\u0101rgi.<\/p>\n<p>Viena lieta ir ra\u017eot atjaunojamo ener\u0123iju, bet otra &#8211; to saglab\u0101t. Tie\u0161i \u0161eit sl\u0113pjas paties\u0101s iesp\u0113jas.<\/p>\n<p>\u0145emot to v\u0113r\u0101, esmu ticies ar da\u017eiem \u013coti gudriem un veiksm\u012bgiem investoriem, kuri strauji virz\u0101s uz saules ener\u0123ijas jaudu b\u016bvniec\u012bbu Latvij\u0101 un ir nopietni p\u0101rdom\u0101ju\u0161i visus iesp\u0113jamos riskus, ko esmu min\u0113jis. Ar \u0161\u0101diem investoriem, kas vada ieguld\u012bjumus atjaunojamos energoresursos Latvij\u0101, m\u016bsu n\u0101kotne patie\u0161\u0101m ir gai\u0161a.<\/p>\n<p>Tagad dodamies ieg\u016bt savu da\u013cu no \u0161iem 4 triljoniem eiro!<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em>No \u017eurn\u0101la Forbes materi\u0101liem (Nr.43, apr\u012blis 2023)<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>https:\/\/forbesbaltics.com\/lv\/viedokli\/raksts\/saules-speks-un-geopolitiskais-perkons<\/em><\/p>\n<p>__________________________<\/p>\n<p><strong>Uzs\u0101kam nozares ekspertu ar pasaules pieredzu rakstu s\u0113riju. Turpm\u0101k \u0161eit un citas platformas public\u0113sim biedru, kopienas draugu un starptautisku nozares ekspertu viedok\u013cu rakstus par industriju aktualit\u0101t\u0113m. Ja tev ir padom\u0101 k\u0101da noz\u012bm\u012bga t\u0113ma vai tav\u0101 nozar\u0113 notiek b\u016btiskas aktualit\u0101tes, sazinies ar mums rakstot uz arita@arpasaulespieredzi.lv<br \/>\n<\/strong><\/p>\n","video_as_thumbnail":"","gallery":[{"ID":787,"id":787,"title":"pauls-miklasevics-54201348","filename":"pauls-miklasevics-54201348.jpg","filesize":91747,"url":"https:\/\/arpasaulespieredzi.lv\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/pauls-miklasevics-54201348.jpg","link":"https:\/\/arpasaulespieredzi.lv\/lv\/news\/p-miklasevics-saules-speks-un-geopolitiskais-perkons\/pauls-miklasevics-54201348\/","alt":"","author":"2","description":"","caption":"","name":"pauls-miklasevics-54201348","status":"inherit","uploaded_to":774,"date":"2023-05-25 00:09:44","modified":"2023-05-25 00:09:49","menu_order":0,"mime_type":"image\/jpeg","type":"image","subtype":"jpeg","icon":"https:\/\/arpasaulespieredzi.lv\/wp-includes\/images\/media\/default.png","width":1600,"height":800,"sizes":{"thumbnail":"https:\/\/arpasaulespieredzi.lv\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/pauls-miklasevics-54201348-150x150.jpg","thumbnail-width":150,"thumbnail-height":150,"medium":"https:\/\/arpasaulespieredzi.lv\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/pauls-miklasevics-54201348-300x150.jpg","medium-width":300,"medium-height":150,"medium_large":"https:\/\/arpasaulespieredzi.lv\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/pauls-miklasevics-54201348.jpg","medium_large-width":768,"medium_large-height":384,"large":"https:\/\/arpasaulespieredzi.lv\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/pauls-miklasevics-54201348-1024x512.jpg","large-width":1024,"large-height":512,"1536x1536":"https:\/\/arpasaulespieredzi.lv\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/pauls-miklasevics-54201348.jpg","1536x1536-width":1536,"1536x1536-height":768,"2048x2048":"https:\/\/arpasaulespieredzi.lv\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/pauls-miklasevics-54201348.jpg","2048x2048-width":1600,"2048x2048-height":800}}],"external_gallery_url":"","additional_info":"<p><strong>Autors:<\/strong> Pauls Mikla\u0161evi\u010ds, BluOr Bank Chief Investment Officer<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/arpasaulespieredzi.lv\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/news\/774","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/arpasaulespieredzi.lv\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/news"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/arpasaulespieredzi.lv\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/news"}],"version-history":[{"count":15,"href":"https:\/\/arpasaulespieredzi.lv\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/news\/774\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":807,"href":"https:\/\/arpasaulespieredzi.lv\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/news\/774\/revisions\/807"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/arpasaulespieredzi.lv\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=774"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"news_category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/arpasaulespieredzi.lv\/lv\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/news_category?post=774"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}